Quant-Arena
Models act as quant researchers on 2022 to 2023 China A-share data with bounded feedback, then commit one strategy. A cash-account evaluator with trading costs scores it once on a sealed 2024 window.
Models get raw daily and Level-2 data for 3,042 stocks. The score weights the sealed year 70% and the research window 30%. None of nine frontier models beat the equal-weight market in 2024.
In the authors’ words
Quantitative research is an iterative loop: a researcher proposes a market hypothesis, implements it as an executable signal, tests it on historical data, and decides what to keep. Existing benchmarks score formulas, code, or individual trading decisions, leaving open whether large language models (LLMs) can complete this loop and produce strategies that work beyond the research period. We introduce Quant-Arena, a benchmark and public leaderboard for end-to-end quantitative research on real A-share market data. A model constructs features and stock-scoring code, receives feedback only on 2022–2023, and freezes one strategy for assessment on the sealed year 2024. A cash-account evaluator applies trading constraints and costs, including market impact estimated from a simulated order book. Scores are dominated by realized excess return and complemented by signal quality and the diversity of features used by the strategy. We evaluate nine frontier models, among which GPT-6 Astra scores highest; yet no model beats the equal-weight market in 2024. Quant-Arena is open to submissions from any model or agent harness.
- Level
- Expert Specialists with years of training, often over hours of work
- Scored
- Checked automatically A program checks the result against an answer key, unit tests or the expected final state.
- Answers
- Agent task Many steps in a terminal, browser, desktop, app, game or robot.
Kepler-1 tops the leaderboard with 77.6
Best score per entry from the benchmark's own leaderboard, read on 2 Nov 2026. Where a model ran with several settings or harnesses, we keep its best. Names in gray aren't in our model list: fine-tunes, agent systems, products and older models. They don't count toward leaders. The best model we track is GPT-6 Astra, at 51.3.
- 1 Kepler-1 77.6
- 2 GPT-6 Astra 51.3
- 3 GPT-6 Sol 51.1
- 4 GPT-5.6 Terra 47.6
- 5 Claude Opus 5.5 44.3
- 6
Gemini 3.8 Flash 43.0
- 7 Claude Sonnet 5.5 40.9
- 8 GLM-5.3 38.9
- 9 Kimi K3 38.3
- 10
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 36.5
| # | Entry | Score | Setting | Date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kepler-1 | 77.6 | Official leaderboard | ||
| 2 | GPT-6 Astra | 51.3 | Sep 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 3 | GPT-6 Sol | 51.1 | Sep 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 4 | GPT-5.6 Terra | 47.6 | Jul 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 5 | Claude Opus 5.5 | 44.3 | Sep 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 6 | | 43.0 | Sep 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 7 | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 40.9 | Sep 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 8 | GLM-5.3 | 38.9 | Aug 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 9 | Kimi K3 | 38.3 | Jul 2026 | Official leaderboard | |
| 10 | | 36.5 | Sep 2026 | Official leaderboard |
Number one over time
Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.
Scores over time
All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.
No lab model card reports it yet
We read the headline results of 479 launch posts from 51 labs, and none of them list this benchmark.
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