Benchmark Almanac

AAV capsid packaging prediction

Claude Opus 4.8 0.80 Only in system cards

Models give the probability that each of 1,000 unpublished modified AAV capsid sequences assembles into a functional capsid. Scored as AUROC.

Built with Dyno Therapeutics for the CB-2 threshold. Run under five corpus and tool conditions.

Made by Anthropic (with Dyno Therapeutics) Released May 2026 Hazardous knowledge Tasks kept private Last in a system card Oct 2026 Last model added Oct 2026
Level
Expert Specialists with years of training, often over hours of work
Scored
Checked automatically A program checks the result against an answer key, unit tests or the expected final state.
Answers
Prediction Probabilities for events that have not happened yet.
1
Model scored in lab cards
6
System cards report it, from 1 lab

Claude Opus 4.8 leads with 0.80

Best score per model as labs report them in their own cards. Labs pick their own settings, so these compare less cleanly than independent runs.

  1. 1 Claude Opus 4.8 0.80
#ModelScoreSettingDateSource
1 Claude Opus 4.8 0.80 May 2026 Model card

Scores over time

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

Reported by the lab in its model card
0.80 2026 0.80 2026

Labs report it only in system cards

We read the headline results of 479 launch posts from 51 labs, and none of them list this benchmark. Some system cards do, below.

6 system cards report it, from 1 lab

Besides launch posts, we read the system cards, model cards and technical reports labs publish with a release. They report far more, including safety and frontier-risk tests.

DateDocumentScoreAs the document writes itSection
7 Oct 2026 Claude Haiku 5.5 system card AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five conditions, chart without printed values (Figure 2.2.3.2.A) Bio and chem risk
28 Sep 2026 Claude Sonnet 5.5 system card AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five conditions, chart without printed values (2.2.3.2, Figure 2.2.3.2.A) Bio and chem risk
22 Sep 2026 Claude Opus 5.5 system card AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five conditions, chart without printed values. Text says within 0.01 of Mythos 5.1 and Opus 5, above ESM-2 alone at 0.699 (2.2.3.2.2, Figure 2.2.3.2.2.A) Bio and chem risk
24 Jul 2026 Claude Opus 5 system card AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five resource conditions, chart without printed values. Text says it exceeds the naive ESM-2 baseline (2.2.5.2, Figure 2.2.5.2.A) Bio and chem risk
30 Jun 2026 Claude Sonnet 5 system card AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five resource conditions, chart without printed values. Text: exceeds the naive ESM-2 baseline in the reasoning-only condition (2.2.5.2, Figure 2.2.5.2.A) Bio and chem risk
28 May 2026 Claude Opus 4.8 system card 0.798 AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC in the reasoning-only condition (no corpus, no PLM) that the notable-capability benchmark uses. ESM-2 provided 0.831, SwissProt 0.748, public AAV 0.783, SwissProt plus AAV 0.746 (Table 2.2.3.B, 2.2.5.2) Bio and chem risk

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