AAV capsid packaging prediction
Models give the probability that each of 1,000 unpublished modified AAV capsid sequences assembles into a functional capsid. Scored as AUROC.
Built with Dyno Therapeutics for the CB-2 threshold. Run under five corpus and tool conditions.
- Level
- Expert Specialists with years of training, often over hours of work
- Scored
- Checked automatically A program checks the result against an answer key, unit tests or the expected final state.
- Answers
- Prediction Probabilities for events that have not happened yet.
Claude Opus 4.8 leads with 0.80
Best score per model as labs report them in their own cards. Labs pick their own settings, so these compare less cleanly than independent runs.
| # | Model | Score | Setting | Date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Opus 4.8 | 0.80 | May 2026 | Model card |
Scores over time
All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.
Labs report it only in system cards
We read the headline results of 479 launch posts from 51 labs, and none of them list this benchmark. Some system cards do, below.
6 system cards report it, from 1 lab
Besides launch posts, we read the system cards, model cards and technical reports labs publish with a release. They report far more, including safety and frontier-risk tests.
| Date | Document | Score | As the document writes it | Section |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | Claude Haiku 5.5 system card | AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five conditions, chart without printed values (Figure 2.2.3.2.A) | Bio and chem risk | |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Claude Sonnet 5.5 system card | AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five conditions, chart without printed values (2.2.3.2, Figure 2.2.3.2.A) | Bio and chem risk | |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Claude Opus 5.5 system card | AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five conditions, chart without printed values. Text says within 0.01 of Mythos 5.1 and Opus 5, above ESM-2 alone at 0.699 (2.2.3.2.2, Figure 2.2.3.2.2.A) | Bio and chem risk | |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Claude Opus 5 system card | AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five resource conditions, chart without printed values. Text says it exceeds the naive ESM-2 baseline (2.2.5.2, Figure 2.2.5.2.A) | Bio and chem risk | |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Claude Sonnet 5 system card | AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC under five resource conditions, chart without printed values. Text: exceeds the naive ESM-2 baseline in the reasoning-only condition (2.2.5.2, Figure 2.2.5.2.A) | Bio and chem risk | |
| 28 May 2026 | Claude Opus 4.8 system card | 0.798 | AAV capsid packaging prediction, AUROC in the reasoning-only condition (no corpus, no PLM) that the notable-capability benchmark uses. ESM-2 provided 0.831, SwissProt 0.748, public AAV 0.783, SwissProt plus AAV 0.746 (Table 2.2.3.B, 2.2.5.2) | Bio and chem risk |
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