Benchmark Almanac

MuSR

ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking 86.7% leads since Sep 2025 Fading

Models answer questions about long generated narratives such as murder mysteries, object placement and team allocation. Each item needs several soft reasoning steps over the story.

One of the six tasks of the Hugging Face Open LLM Leaderboard v2.

In the authors’ words

While large language models (LLMs) equipped with techniques like chain-of-thought prompting have demonstrated impressive capabilities, they still fall short in their ability to reason robustly in complex settings. However, evaluating LLM reasoning is challenging because system capabilities continue to grow while benchmark datasets for tasks like logical deduction have remained static. We introduce MuSR, a dataset for evaluating language models on multistep soft reasoning tasks specified in a natural language narrative. This dataset has two crucial features. First, it is created through a novel neurosymbolic synthetic-to-natural generation algorithm, enabling the construction of complex reasoning instances that challenge GPT-4 (e.g., murder mysteries roughly 1000 words in length) and which can be scaled further as more capable LLMs are released. Second, our dataset instances are free text narratives corresponding to real-world domains of reasoning; this makes it simultaneously much more challenging than other synthetically-crafted benchmarks while remaining realistic and tractable for human annotators to solve with high accuracy. We evaluate a range of LLMs and prompting techniques on this dataset and characterize the gaps that remain for techniques like chain-of-thought to perform robust reasoning.

Abstract of MuSR: Testing the Limits of Chain-of-thought with Multistep Soft Reasoning (arXiv:2310.16049, CC0)
Made by UT Austin Released Oct 2023 Language reasoning All tasks public Last in a launch post Dec 2025 , dropped after it saturated Last model added Dec 2025
Level
University Undergraduates and entry-level professionals
Scored
Checked automatically A program checks the result against an answer key, unit tests or the expected final state.
Answers
Multiple choice
6
Models scored in lab cards
6
Launch posts list it, from 3 labs
2
System cards report it, from 2 labs

ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking leads with 86.7% among models released by Dec 2025

Best score per model as labs report them in their own cards. Labs pick their own settings, so these compare less cleanly than independent runs.

The newest model with a score here came out in Dec 2025, and nobody has reported a newer one. Among the 20 highest-ranked models on the capability index, these have no score yet:

  1. 1 ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking 86.7%
  2. 2 ERNIE-4.5-300B-A47B 69.9%
  3. 3 Hermes 4.3 36B 69.7%
  4. 4 Hermes 4 405B 66.1%
  5. 5 Trinity Mini 63.5%
  6. 6 AFM-4.5B 38.8%
#ModelScoreSettingDateSource
1 ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking 86.7% Sep 2025 Model card
2 ERNIE-4.5-300B-A47B 69.9% Jun 2025 Model card
3 Hermes 4.3 36B 69.7% Dec 2025 Model card
4 Hermes 4 405B 66.1% Aug 2025 Model card
5 Trinity Mini 63.5% Dec 2025 Model card
6 AFM-4.5B 38.8% Jul 2025 Model card

2 models have held number one since its release in Oct 2023

Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.

Baidu
Lab claims Passed 85% in Sep 2025, by ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking

The best score passed 85% in Sep 2025

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

Reported by the lab in its model card Best so far
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2025 2026 Near the ceiling (85%) ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking ERNIE-4.5-300B-A47B 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2025 2026 Near the ceiling (85%) ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking ERNIE-4.5-300B-A47B

Labs headline it less often now, last in Dec 2025

Launch posts from every lab that has listed it, one tick per post. Tall colored ticks include it, and short gray ones leave it out.

Baidu
Arcee AI
Nous Research
DateLaunch postScoreAs the post writes it
3 Dec 2025 Hermes 4.3 36B 69.7 MuSR
1 Dec 2025 Trinity Mini 63.5 MUSR
9 Sep 2025 ERNIE-4.5-21B-A3B-Thinking 86.7 MUSR (Accuracy)
26 Aug 2025 Hermes 4 405B 66.1 MuSR (reasoning)
29 Jul 2025 AFM-4.5B 38.8 MUSR
30 Jun 2025 ERNIE-4.5-300B-A47B 69.9 MUSR

2 system cards report it, from 2 labs

Besides launch posts, we read the system cards, model cards and technical reports labs publish with a release. They report far more, including safety and frontier-risk tests.

DateDocumentScoreAs the document writes itSection
25 Aug 2025 Hermes 4 405B technical report 66.1 MuSR, reasoning mode (Table 3). Non-reasoning 48.2 Capabilities
29 Jun 2025 ERNIE-4.5-300B-A47B technical report 69.9 MUSR (Table 5) Capabilities

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