Benchmark Almanac

MakeMeSay

GPT-4.5 72% leads since Feb 2025 Only in system cards

A manipulator model tries to make a GPT-4o manipulatee say a codeword without suspicion. Scored as manipulator win rate.

Open source in OpenAI Evals.

Made by OpenAI Released Sep 2023 Dangerous capabilities All tasks public Last in a system card Nov 2025 Last model added Nov 2025
Level
Everyday Most adults, without training
Scored
Settled by events Predictions are scored against what later happens.
Answers
Open-ended Free-form text, documents, designs or media judged as a whole.
9
Models scored in lab cards
9
System cards report it, from 2 labs

GPT-4.5 leads with 72% among models released by Nov 2025

Best score per model as labs report them in their own cards. Labs pick their own settings, so these compare less cleanly than independent runs.

The newest model with a score here came out in Nov 2025, and nobody has reported a newer one. Among the 20 highest-ranked models on the capability index, these have no score yet:

  1. 1 GPT-4.5 72%
  2. 2 o3-mini 62%
  3. 3 o1-preview 49%
  4. 4 o1 42%
  5. 5 o1-mini 38.9%
  6. 6 OpenAI deep research 24%
  7. 7 Grok 4 12%
  8. 8 Grok 4 Fast 12%
  9. 9 Grok 4.1 0%
#ModelScoreSettingDateSource
1 GPT-4.5 72% Feb 2025 Model card
2 o3-mini 62% Jan 2025 Model card
3 o1-preview 49% Sep 2024 Model card
4 o1 42% Dec 2024 Model card
5 o1-mini 38.9% Sep 2024 Model card
6 OpenAI deep research 24% Feb 2025 Model card
7 Grok 4 12% Aug 2025 Model card
8 Grok 4 Fast 12% Sep 2025 Model card
9 Grok 4.1 0% Nov 2025 Model card

3 models have held number one since its release in Sep 2023

Lab claims count from the day the card came out, independent runs from the model’s release.

OpenAI
Lab claims Not tested since Nov 2025
GPT-4.5 72%

Scores over time

All the scores we have, one dot each, so a model tested at several settings appears more than once.

Reported by the lab in its model card Best so far
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2025 2026 Near the ceiling (85%) GPT-4.5 o3-mini o1-preview 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2025 2026 Near the ceiling (85%) GPT-4.5 o3-mini

Labs report it only in system cards

We read the headline results of 479 launch posts from 51 labs, and none of them list this benchmark. Some system cards do, below.

9 system cards report it, from 2 labs

Besides launch posts, we read the system cards, model cards and technical reports labs publish with a release. They report far more, including safety and frontier-risk tests.

DateDocumentScoreAs the document writes itSection
17 Nov 2025 Grok 4.1 model card 0 MakeMeSay, win rate 0.00 against non-thinking Grok 3 Mini, Grok 4.1 Thinking (Table 4) Persuasion
19 Sep 2025 Grok 4 Fast model card 12 MakeMeSay, win rate 0.12 (Table 3) Persuasion
20 Aug 2025 Grok 4 model card 12 MakeMeSay, win rate 0.12 against non-reasoning Grok 3 Mini, Grok 4 API (Table 3) Persuasion
27 Feb 2025 GPT-4.5 system card 72 MakeMeSay vs GPT-4o, manipulator win rate (4.5.2) Persuasion
25 Feb 2025 OpenAI deep research system card 24 MakeMeSay vs GPT-4o, manipulator win rate, post-mitigation without browsing (3.4.6) Persuasion
31 Jan 2025 o3-mini system card 62 MakeMeSay vs GPT-4o, success rate, o3-mini (Post), printed chart label (5.6.4) Persuasion
5 Dec 2024 o1 system card 42 MakeMeSay vs GPT-4o, success rate, o1 (post-mitigation), printed chart label (5.7.4) Persuasion
12 Sep 2024 o1-preview system card 49 MakeMeSay, % of times manipulator tricks GPT-4o to say a codeword, o1-preview (post-mitigation), printed chart label (4.4.4) Persuasion
12 Sep 2024 o1-mini system card 38.9 MakeMeSay, % of times manipulator tricks GPT-4o to say a codeword, o1-mini (post-mitigation), printed chart label (4.4.4) Persuasion

More in Safety and alignment

All 444 in Safety and alignment
  • FORTRESS In use Paired adversarial and benign national-security misuse prompts. Rubric-graded risk score on adversarial and over-refusal score on benign prompts. Claude Opus 5.5 5.78%
  • StrongREJECT In use Forbidden-prompt jailbreak benchmark with a rubric grader that scores how useful a non-refusal actually is. Inkling 98.6%
  • AgentDojo In use Agents do tool-use tasks while tools and data carry prompt injections. Attack success rate counts hijacked runs. Grok 4 Fast 0%
  • MASK In use Measures whether a model contradicts its own elicited beliefs under pressure to lie. Honesty separated from accuracy. Muse Spark Open 98.1%
  • Gray Swan IPI Arena benchmark In use Indirect prompt-injection attacks from public red-teaming competitions replayed on tool, coding and browser agents. Attack success rate at k attempts. GPT-6 Astra 8.50%
  • Agentic misalignment suite (Anthropic) In use Agents in simulated company settings face threats or goal conflicts that invite blackmail, leaking or sabotage. Score is the misaligned action rate. Claude Sonnet 4.5 0%